Consumer & Retail

Germany is Europe’s largest consumer market, with a population of over 83 million and above-average purchasing power.

Overview of the consumer & retail sector

With over 80 million inhabitants, Germany is the largest consumer market in Europe and ranks among the countries with the highest purchasing power. Private consumption accounts for roughly half of GDP, forming the foundation of the domestic economy.

The consumer goods and retail sector connects production, logistics, and distribution, making it one of the highest-revenue industries in the DACH region. Around 98% of retail businesses are mid-sized, predominantly owner-managed, and regionally rooted. This structure fosters employment and stability but faces increasing competition from international corporations, global brands, and digital platforms.

Growth Rates

+4,6%

2020

+0,3%

2021

-0,6%

2022

Key Insights

1
Current trends in the consumer goods & retail sector

The consumer goods and retail sector finds itself at a crossroads between established market strength and the need for reinvention. While private consumption in the DACH region continues to provide a stable foundation, technology, data, and changing consumer behavior are fundamentally reshaping the rules of competition.

Digital sales systems are no longer a supplement but the core of value creation - determining how customer relationships are built, maintained, and monetized. Companies that integrate data across all channels and use it to manage assortment, pricing, and sales gain clear efficiency and margin advantages.

At the same time, demand and brand dynamics are shifting: consumers are increasingly making purchasing decisions based on sustainability, transparency, and individual relevance. As a result, long-term success now depends not only on product quality but also on the ability to combine digital processes, brand management, and customer insight into an integrated business model. For mid-sized companies, technological capability and organizational agility are becoming essential components of competitive strength.

2
Challenges in the consumer goods & retail sector

The consumer goods and retail sector faces the challenge of renewing existing structures in an increasingly demanding environment. Persistently high energy, labor, and procurement costs are creating sustained margin pressure and limiting the investment capacity of many companies.

At the same time, technological transformation requires substantial investment in digital infrastructure, data integration, and process modernization. The shortage of skilled labor further complicates this transition, particularly in technology- and analytics-intensive areas. In addition, regulatory requirements and ESG obligations are increasing complexity in both management and reporting.

For many mid-sized companies, this creates a tension between cost stability, modernization, and the need to build future-proof structures under volatile market conditions.

3
Factors influencing company valuations

The valuation of companies in the consumer goods and retail sector is strongly influenced by profitability, scalability, and brand strength. The key factor is the ability to generate sustainable cash flows and maintain margins despite cost and competitive pressures.

Companies with a clear market position, recurring revenues, and strong customer loyalty achieve above-average valuation multiples. Beyond operational profitability, structural factors are gaining importance - particularly integrated digital infrastructure, efficient processes, and resilient supply chains.

In an environment of rising capital costs, investors place greater emphasis on profitability and resilience rather than pure revenue growth. For mid-sized companies, this means that value creation is driven not by scale alone, but by transparency, operational excellence, and the ability to deliver stable results even under volatile market conditions.

M&A Perspective

The consumer goods and retail sector combines scale and stability with constant transformation. Demand for everyday goods remains largely steady, while consumer habits, technological conditions, and societal expectations continue to evolve.

Companies must now be more capable than ever of responding to rising costs, geopolitical uncertainty, and new regulatory requirements. At the same time, increasing digitalization demands investment in modern sales systems, efficient processes, and data-driven management.

For mid-sized enterprises, this means actively leveraging their strategic flexibility and aligning their business models for long-term resilience. The sector thus remains a cornerstone of the DACH economy - significant in its economic contribution, stable in its foundation, and demanding in its ongoing development.

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